Sell the news? Cardano Price Likely to Fall 20% Despite Vasil's Hard Fork Euphoria
ADA is running out of buyers despite Cardano's long-awaited hard fork potentially going live in late July.
![Sell the news? Cardano price risks 20% drop despite Vasil hard fork euphoria](https:// images.cointelegraph.com/images/1434_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjItMDcvMmFlNGRkODYtZjdmNS00NDJhLTg1ZDYtYWU2ZmZlNjVjNjYxLmpwZw==.jpg)
Cardano (ADA) plunged this July 21 as the market favors mounting selling pressure around its most reliable resistance levels in 2022 over a major hard fork ahead.
ADA price could plunge 20% by early AugustADA price fell 5% intraday to $0.476. The downward move is part of a broader retreat that began a day after briefly breaking above its 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA; the red wave in the chart below) near $0.50.
The 50-day EMA has served as a resistance level on the ADA curves since October 2021.
![](https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2022-07/75aa9c74-dc6b-46f7-afd1-e9bc743d182f.png)
Furthermore, the upper trendline resistance of a larger descending channel pattern has bolstered selling sentiment around the 50-day EMA wave of the 'ADA. Earlier in June, the same confluence of resistance triggered a price decline of 35% towards the lower trendline of the channel.
Therefore, ADA's new corrective move is likely to take the price towards $0.384 by July or early August, down about 20% from the July 21 price.
2018 fractal suggests $0.20 per ADAHowever, a separate analysis sees ADA dropping to levels deeper than $0.384.
Published by TradingShot, the ADA bearish forecast draws comparisons between the ongoing correction and that seen during the 2018 stock market crash, as shown below.
![](https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2022-07/47c4f8a6-ee42-48d5-bfac-6b46603e4ec0.png)
In detail, the 2018 chart above shows ADA experiencing multiple bearish rejections near its 50-day EMA (the orange wave) while trending higher. going downhill...
![Sell the news? Cardano Price Likely to Fall 20% Despite Vasil's Hard Fork Euphoria](https://images.cointelegraph.com/images/840_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjItMDcvMmFlNGRkODYtZjdmNS00NDJhLTg1ZDYtYWU2ZmZlNjVjNjYxLmpwZw==.jpg?#)
ADA is running out of buyers despite Cardano's long-awaited hard fork potentially going live in late July.
![Sell the news? Cardano price risks 20% drop despite Vasil hard fork euphoria](https:// images.cointelegraph.com/images/1434_aHR0cHM6Ly9zMy5jb2ludGVsZWdyYXBoLmNvbS91cGxvYWRzLzIwMjItMDcvMmFlNGRkODYtZjdmNS00NDJhLTg1ZDYtYWU2ZmZlNjVjNjYxLmpwZw==.jpg)
Cardano (ADA) plunged this July 21 as the market favors mounting selling pressure around its most reliable resistance levels in 2022 over a major hard fork ahead.
ADA price could plunge 20% by early AugustADA price fell 5% intraday to $0.476. The downward move is part of a broader retreat that began a day after briefly breaking above its 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA; the red wave in the chart below) near $0.50.
The 50-day EMA has served as a resistance level on the ADA curves since October 2021.
![](https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2022-07/75aa9c74-dc6b-46f7-afd1-e9bc743d182f.png)
Furthermore, the upper trendline resistance of a larger descending channel pattern has bolstered selling sentiment around the 50-day EMA wave of the 'ADA. Earlier in June, the same confluence of resistance triggered a price decline of 35% towards the lower trendline of the channel.
Therefore, ADA's new corrective move is likely to take the price towards $0.384 by July or early August, down about 20% from the July 21 price.
2018 fractal suggests $0.20 per ADAHowever, a separate analysis sees ADA dropping to levels deeper than $0.384.
Published by TradingShot, the ADA bearish forecast draws comparisons between the ongoing correction and that seen during the 2018 stock market crash, as shown below.
![](https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2022-07/47c4f8a6-ee42-48d5-bfac-6b46603e4ec0.png)
In detail, the 2018 chart above shows ADA experiencing multiple bearish rejections near its 50-day EMA (the orange wave) while trending higher. going downhill...
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