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Six huge rugby bets this weekend – including one line the bookmakers may have got wrong

Andrew Couts by Andrew Couts
July 15, 2026
in General, Sports
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International rugby action continues this weekend with six fascinating tests, and the betting markets have already started to move.

France, Ireland and Argentina received support, while punters backed Fiji and Scotland to keep things tighter than initially expected.

Here are our picks for each game.

🇳🇿 New Zealand vs Italy

Choice: Italy +32.0

New Zealand were exceptional against a top-class French team, playing with pace and precision throughout the match. With another test coming up, some turnover is expected.

Italy, meanwhile, simply couldn’t have played worse against Japan. Mistakes, repercussions and lack of discipline have hurt their performance, but they should improve significantly.

The handicap has increased to 32 points, which makes Italy slightly more attractive.

Prediction: New Zealand by 24-30.

🇦🇺 Australia vs France

Choice: France -8.0

Australia will still be wondering how they let victory against Ireland slip away, while France proved they can compete with the world’s best despite missing several front-line stars.

The market went from -7.5 in France to -8.0, and it’s easy to understand why. France appear to be the more complete team and should create enough opportunities to pull away.

Prediction: France by 8-14.

🇯🇵 Japan vs Ireland

Choice: Ireland -20.0

Japan deserve plenty of praise for their victory over Italy, but Ireland showed real character to edge out Australia in a high-quality match.

The handicap has been reduced slightly from 20.5 to 20 points, giving Irish fans a little more value.

Ireland’s superior strength and squad depth should prove decisive in the final quarter.

Prediction: Ireland by 24-28.

🇫🇯 Fiji vs England

Choice: more than 63.5 points

Neither team played their best last weekend.

Fiji were disappointing against Wales, while England were completely outplayed by South Africa.

The handicap has fallen from -20.5 to -19.0 for England, suggesting support for Fiji, but the total points market is far more attractive. Both teams are capable of scoring from anywhere, making this one of the best entertainment matches of the weekend.

Prediction: A remarkable meeting with many tries.

🇿🇦 South Africa vs Scotland

Choice: No bet

South Africa looked every bit like the world champions as they scored 45 runs against England.

Scotland impressed against Argentina and attracted enough support to see the handicap reduced to 22 points.

The line now looks about right, making it a game to enjoy rather than force a bet.

Prediction: South Africa by 21-28.

🇦🇷 Argentina v Wales ⭐

Best bet: Argentina -17.0

Argentina were surprisingly controlled against Scotland, managing just three line breaks throughout the match. Expect a much sharper performance at home.

Wales were impressive in beating Fiji, but this is a much tougher task. The market continues to support the Pumas, with the handicap increasing from 16.5 to 17 points.

Argentina have too much quality to produce back-to-back subpar performances.

Prediction: Argentina by 18-24.

SportsNewsBest bets in IRELAND

⭐ Argentina -17.0
✅ France -8.0
✅ Ireland -20.0
🎯 Italy +32.0 (Value)
🔥 Over 63.5 points – Fiji v England

The position Six huge rugby bets this weekend – including one line the bookmakers may have got wrong appeared first on SportsNewsIreland.

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Andrew Couts

Andrew Couts

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