Emmy Predictions: Lead Actor in a Drama Series - Lee Jung-jae Makes History with "Squid Game"

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Variety's Awards Circuit section brings together all the award news and related content throughout the year, including the following: Official award predictions for the Oscars and Emmys Upcoming, curated by Variety Awards Editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for the Emmys) and Davis (for the Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a series of weekly interviews with talent and a panel of experts; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and nominees from Variety's leading awards experts. Variety's unparalleled coverage provides its readership with unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as in-house reporting on all of this year's awards season race contenders.

To see all the latest predictions, from all categories, in one place, visit THE EMMYS COLLECTIVEVisit each category, by issuing individual awards from THE EMMYS HUBTo view past predictions and commentary, click on the EMMY PREDICTIONS ARCHIVE

UPDATED: August 1, 2022

2022 EMMYS PREDICTIONS: OUTSTANDING LEADING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

REWARDS PREDICTION COMMENT:

Netflix's record-breaking 'Squid Game' landed a respectable nomination, and its star Lee Jung-jae got the competition rolling on the awards circuit. Entering phase two of voting with a Critics Choice, a Golden Globe and a SAG Award is significant. Lee would also be the first Asian in the category and the fourth of Asian descent (after Riz Ahmed, Darren Criss and Archie Panjabi).

With three names this year for producing, directing and starring as Marty Byrde in the final season of Netflix's "Ozark," Jason Bateman has won 13 career Emmys. With just one directing win in 2019, he's yet to win an acting award. Interestingly, six of the previous 10 lead actor drama winners over the past decade have won for their final seasons. Maybe Bateman can continue this trend.

The intensity of Brian Cox's character, Logan Roy, increased dramatically in the third season of "Succession," and Cox took full advantage of his opportunities, earning his fourth career nomination. With the series leading the Emmys tally with 25, chances are one of the series' two co-leads will walk away with the trophy. He won a supporting actor trophy in 2001.

Read more: Variety's AwardsThe Circuit's Emmys Prediction Center.

Emmy Predictions: Lead Actor in a Drama Series - Lee Jung-jae Makes History with "Squid Game"
Lazy loaded image

Variety's Awards Circuit section brings together all the award news and related content throughout the year, including the following: Official award predictions for the Oscars and Emmys Upcoming, curated by Variety Awards Editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for the Emmys) and Davis (for the Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a series of weekly interviews with talent and a panel of experts; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and nominees from Variety's leading awards experts. Variety's unparalleled coverage provides its readership with unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as in-house reporting on all of this year's awards season race contenders.

To see all the latest predictions, from all categories, in one place, visit THE EMMYS COLLECTIVEVisit each category, by issuing individual awards from THE EMMYS HUBTo view past predictions and commentary, click on the EMMY PREDICTIONS ARCHIVE

UPDATED: August 1, 2022

2022 EMMYS PREDICTIONS: OUTSTANDING LEADING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

REWARDS PREDICTION COMMENT:

Netflix's record-breaking 'Squid Game' landed a respectable nomination, and its star Lee Jung-jae got the competition rolling on the awards circuit. Entering phase two of voting with a Critics Choice, a Golden Globe and a SAG Award is significant. Lee would also be the first Asian in the category and the fourth of Asian descent (after Riz Ahmed, Darren Criss and Archie Panjabi).

With three names this year for producing, directing and starring as Marty Byrde in the final season of Netflix's "Ozark," Jason Bateman has won 13 career Emmys. With just one directing win in 2019, he's yet to win an acting award. Interestingly, six of the previous 10 lead actor drama winners over the past decade have won for their final seasons. Maybe Bateman can continue this trend.

The intensity of Brian Cox's character, Logan Roy, increased dramatically in the third season of "Succession," and Cox took full advantage of his opportunities, earning his fourth career nomination. With the series leading the Emmys tally with 25, chances are one of the series' two co-leads will walk away with the trophy. He won a supporting actor trophy in 2001.

Read more: Variety's AwardsThe Circuit's Emmys Prediction Center.

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