Oscar Predictions: Best Actress - If Cate Blanchett wins for 'Tár,' she'll set a new women's record with three statuettes to play

Variety The Awards Circuit section is the home for all the news on the awards and related content throughout the year, with the following: official predictions for upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony awards ceremonies, curated by Variety, Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis's assessment of the current race standings and do not reflect personal preferences for any movie or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Forecasts are updated every Thursday.

LAST UPDATED: Dec 22, 2022< /em>

Oscars 2023 Predictions: Best Actress

EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE AT THE SAME TIME, Michelle Yeoh Courtesy Everett Collection

CATEGORY COMMENT: Cate Blanchett and Michelle Yeoh are neck and neck for Best Actress, he there's no other way to put it on. They are stepping down from competition for their roles in 'Tár' and 'Everything Everywhere All at Once', both of which are up for Best Picture nominations.

Blanchett is on the hunt for his third statuette, hoping to join Meryl Streep (“Kramer vs. Kramer” , "Sophie's Choice" and "The Iron Lady") and Frances McDormand ("Fargo", "Three Billboards outside Ebbing Missouri" and "Nomadland"). It took Streep 42 years to acquire three statues (between 1979 and 2011). while it took McDormand 24 (from 1996 to 2020).

Blanchett would do it in 18 (starting with 2004's "The Aviator") and it would be the most short notice for any woman. Even Katharine Hepburn, who won four in her breathtaking career, took 35 years to get three wins (her third was for "Guess Who's Coming to Dinner"), and the Academy waited 13 more to award the fourth for "On Golden Pond". ”

Timelines for the other three Oscar winners in history - Walter Brennan surprisingly nabbed three over four years at the start of the Academy between 1936 and 1940, all in a supporting role. Daniel Day-Lewis did it in 28 years (between 1989 and 2013) and Jack Nicholson in 22 (between 1975 and 1997).

As hard to believe, this would be Yeoh's first career name despite worthy turns in "Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon" and "Crazy Rich Asians". She would only be the second Asian woman nominated for lead actress (after Merle Oberon for "The Dark Angel" in 1935). If she lands in the field, it will become clear (unfortunately) the Academy may not have another chance to reward her, especially considering that many of her contestants will return a few more times (hopefully Yeoh can be back too).< /p>

Michelle Williams is the one who could "get in the middle" in a type-of-scenario split vote for his work in "The Fabelmans", especially after four previous losses under his belt.

Danielle Deadwyler needs SAG to cement her place in the lineup, but the actors guild still has been known to throw a curveball like Amy Adams ("Hillbilly Elegy") or Helen M...