Less than a fifth of Tory members say the 'most likely' scenario is a Tory majority under Rishi Sunak

Less than a fifth of Tory members think the most likely outcome at the next general election is a majority in the House of Commons if Rishi Sunak succeeds Boris Johnson at No10, according to a new poll.

Two-and-a-half years after the incumbent prime minister won the biggest Tory majority since Margaret Thatcher, the YouGov survey has found Tory loyalists doubted a major electoral success.

The figures for Mr Sunak - the former chancellor - are most striking, with just 19% of those polled suggesting the 'likeliest' outcome after the next election would be a Conservative majority in the Commons .< /p>