The Premier League xG table 2022-23: Man Utd 7th, Chelsea 15th…

The 2022-23 Premier League season is about to restart and the picture seems to have taken shape - but can some clubs feel lucky or badly tried?

Manchester City and Arsenal have started to pull away from the rest of the chasing pack, but do their results reflect the quality of their performances?

Meanwhile, teams like Manchester United, Chelsea and Liverpool have struggled this season in terms of results, but what about the underlying performance?

The Expected Goals (xG) metric uses a complex algorithm to determine the quality of the chances each team has created and conceded this season, giving us a useful tool to measure the actual quality of their performance, regardless of the scores.

With data from Understat, here are the tables in terms of expected goals so far this season.

Expected goals (xG)

1. Manchester City – 30,742. Liverpool – 29,583. Arsenal – 29,544. Newcastle United – 28,435. Tottenham – 26,096. Brighton- 24.907. Brentford- 23,458. Manchester United – 21,859. Fulham-21.5110. Leeds United – 21.1911. West Ham United – 19.5912. Villa Aston – 17.3513. Chelsea – 16.8114. Everton- 16.2215. Leicester City – 16.2416. Southampton- 16.1517. Nottingham Forest - 15.5318. Crystal Palace – 15.3019. Wolves – 14.2320. Bournemouth – 1:32 p.m.

As expected, City and Arsenal have been unlucky this season; their attacks are really very effective. Newcastle United are comfortably in the top four in terms of the quality of the chances they create, while Brighton and Brentford will also be satisfied.

Fans of Chelsea and Manchester United will nod wisely at the numbers that indicate their team has a lot to improve on.

At the other end of the table you see relegation fighters Wolves, Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth struggle quite dramatically in terms of shaping chances, while West Ham don't fare too badly in that regard - their disappointing season has its origins in their inability to take such risks.

Goals against expected (xGA)

1. Arsenal – 11,812. Manchester City – 13,163. Brighton- 16.074. Manchester United – 17,345. West Ham United – 17,536. Newcastle United – 17,457. Tottenham- 18,078. Crystal Palace – 20.269. Wolves – 20.7810. Leicester City – 21.0811. Villa Aston – 21.3412. Chelsea – 21.8713. Leeds United – 22.2814. Brentford- 22.6315. Liverpool- 23.1016. Southampton-23.1517. Everton – 25.3818. Bournemouth – 25.4119. Nottingham Forest - 26.7220. Fulham- 32.61

Reigning champions City lag behind current league leaders in this respect, as Arsenal's impressive season is borne out by their defensive numbers.

Elsewhere, Newcastle significantly outperform in terms of actual goals conceded, while Chelsea are surprisingly low in 12th in terms of the quality of the chances they give the opposition.

Again, this graph is not very clear for Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest - and Liverpool.

Expected points (xPTS)

1. Arsenal – 31,082. Manchester City – 30,943. Newcastle United – 26,324. Tottenham- 25,895. Brighton- 25,526. Liverpool- 22,447. Manchester United – 22,428. Brentford- 22,099. West Ham United – 21.7510. Villa Aston – 20.2411. Leeds United – 18.7812. Leicester City – 17.1413. Southampton – 15.9714. Crystal Palace – 15.8715. Chelsea – 15.7216. Wolves – 15.4917. Fulham-15.3218. Everton- 14.2619. Nottingham Forest - 14.1720. Bournemouth – 13.09

Expected Points (xPTS) uses xG for and against game by game to determine how many points a team should have taken.

Once again City and Arsenal are comfortably ahead in this regard, with Brighton and Newcastle enjoying excellent seasons.

West Ham, facing an unexpected relegation battle, will cry over their side's comfortable mid-table position while Chelsea supporters will be alarmed to see their team bottom of the mid-table.

Forest and Bournemouth are unsurprisingly in the bottom two, the table doesn't lie after all, while Everton will sweat from their side's lackluster season to date.

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